* https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/land-use-reform The problem Laws at the local level in the United States and many other countries impose strict limits on how much total floor area can be built on a plot of land. Such zoning laws constitute a major obstacle to the construction of dense housing. The resulting increase in housing prices reduces economic efficiency by creating significant deadweight loss; increases inequality by transferring wealth from renters to landowners; and reduces both wages and total economic output by preventing workers from relocating where they can be most productive. The effects of zoning laws on housing prices can be estimated by comparing the sale price of housing to the associated costs of land and construction.[1] Open Philanthropy has combined these estimates with rent data and some additional assumptions to conclude that the aggregate "tax" on renters in five large metropolitan areas amounts to over $100 billion in deadweight loss per year.[2] A study by economists Chang-Tai Hsieh and Enrico Moretti examines the costs resulting from the reduced flow of workers to more productive regions within the United States due to rising housing prices. The authors conclude that land use restrictions depress annual U.S. wages by $1.27 trillion and output by $1.95 trillion.[3][4] If land use restrictions create these problems, why do they persist? In part, the costs of restricting land use in a given location are incurred by workers who would benefit from moving to that location, and who as such do not yet live there. Since restrictions are created at the local level, they are insensitive to the interests of these workers, who do not vote in those jurisdictions. Other costs of restricting land use—such as reduced economic output—are dispersed across society as a whole. Public choice theory explains why governments neglect these costs and instead focus on the concentrated benefits to landowners—even if, in the aggregate, the costs vastly outweigh the benefits. Possible solutions Open Philanthropy and 80,000 Hours have proposed a number of solutions to the problems caused by land use restrictions, which are quoted below. Policy options Promising options open to policymakers include the following:[2] "Local governments in high-wage high-regulation metropolitan areas could simply 'upzone', permitting more and denser development." "Local governments could change the process by which they decide how to regulate land use. For example, they could adopt a 'zoning budget' targeting an overall level of housing growth, so that restrictions in one area would have to be balanced by expansions elsewhere. This would help align incentives of advocates for individual projects to support greater overall growth." "Decision-making in land use policy could be re-assigned from local to regional or state authorities, which would likely be less susceptible to neighborhood pressure to oppose new development." Funding options Promising options open to funders include the following:[5] Fund existing local groups, such as YIMBY Action, California YIMBY or Open New York, or potential new groups in key housing markets. "Fund a campaign to move land use decision-making power from the local to the regional or state level. We are not aware of any existing arrangements of this form in the United States, or of any active efforts to promote them, so this would likely be an exercise in 'active funding.'" "Support the development of a policy consensus (for example, by convening conferences or sponsoring work on this issue in prominent think tanks). This would have the benefits of both encouraging coordination on this issue by policymakers, and improving our understanding of what policy changes are most likely to be beneficial." * https://www.openphilanthropy.org/focus/housing-policy-reform/ We seek to reduce the harms caused by excessively restrictive regulations on local housing. Local laws often prohibit the construction of dense new housing, which has contributed to rising housing prices and lower affordability for renters and buyers. Ratio of median house price and median household income in the US, 1967-2021 (US Census Bureau). House price data is MSPUS; median household income is from Income in the US Table D-1. These price increases are pronounced in large, high-wage metro areas (e.g., New York, Boston, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Seattle, and Washington D.C.). More permissive policy which enabled a greater supply of housing in those areas could unlock value by: Encouraging economic growth through greater innovation and agglomeration. Increasing the earnings of individuals moving to high-wage jobs in those areas. Enabling more people to live in denser areas, which have lower carbon emissions. Redistributing wealth and income to lower-income households and supporting access to housing for lower earners. Changing housing policy laws is unusually valuable because there is a huge amount of private capital and firms dedicated to building new homes. Removing restrictions on building — especially denser construction in cities — unlocks that capital to be deployed much more efficiently without requiring philanthropists or government to directly subsidize construction. Indeed, the evidence is clear that “upzoning” (removing restrictions on denser housing) can lead to increases in supply and reductions in prices, and several recent studies conclude that building new homes (even market-rate homes) tends to make housing more affordable, including for low-income households. Considering these potential gains, we think that working toward more permissive housing policy from a public-interest perspective (as opposed to lobbying for specific developments) appears neglected in those key regions. We began making housing policy grants in 2015 and were early supporters of the YIMBY movement, which supports people to advocate for permissive zoning and development in their local areas. Since that time, we have seen significant growth in the movement and notable policy breakthroughs. Successes our grantees have been involved in include: the growth of Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU) reform in California and Seattle, bills supporting middle housing and ADUs in Washington state, and further legislative success in California for housing on commercial corridors and removing parking mandates near transit.